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Money Management

Winning is not losing

Minimization of loses is the name of the game.

There is a whole branch of mathematics which studied optimizations.

Less Is More

Every opening of and exiting from a Position is subject to commission, so trade less often, ideally at a just right pattern (perfect timing).

Time in the Marker beats timing the Market

An obvious true statement, if you think a couple of minutes.

However, to understand what time it is in the Market requires a lot of information processing and sentiment analysis. Professionals do it all the time (actual trading takes seconds).

Cannot enter anywhere

Arbitrary entry is a loss due to short-term volatility. You will be stopped-out or even liquidated.

A flat range has to be traded only at its edges, in the direction of returns to normal.

Errors are costly

The whole industry has been created to profit from your errors - bad timing, FOMOing and especially dong emotional shit.

Wrong timing is a loss. Wrong side is a big loss.

Exit a losing Position without any delay or hope. Set stop-loses.

Rules

  • Never open a Position you cannot afford to lose.
  • Never dry up your account. A good entry usually appear right after a loss.
  • Never without a stop-loss.
  • Each Entry is an accepted and calculated loss.
  • DO NOT ENTER IN THE MIDDLE OF A RANGE.

Heuristics

  • A trend is your friend (a chance for an easy entry).
  • Never miss a wick (systematic, pays off in the long run).
  • A connection could be lost at any moment. Literally.
  • Anticipate but never try to predict Market moves (phases).

Strategies

  • Positional trading only (in the direction of the current major trend)
  • Be early, not late (LOL).
  • Do not be a bull or a bear. Be early on a major reversal.
  • Trade in the direction of “returns to normal”.
  • Short every ATH. Long every bottom wick.
  • Reeeeee-to-ze-moon are sudden and violent. Hopium drives markets.
  • Anticipate and try not to miss “the top”

Tactics

  • Always expect “returns to normal”.
  • Enter on a minor reversals in the direction of the major trend (LOL)
  • Always confirm on a bigger time-frame.

Author: <schiptsov@gmail.com>

Email: lngnmn2@yahoo.com

Created: 2023-08-08 Tue 18:41

Emacs 29.1.50 (Org mode 9.7-pre)