Probabilities

Even though Markets are unstable some universal, frequency-based notions from the probability theory can be used to describe or model the current-frame, short-term outlook.

It is almost trivial that reaching prices which lie further away from the spot is less probable that those closer to it. The universal notion of a distance and the “drunk simulation” are good considerations.

For example, the probability of touching again the tip of a wick is less than of any other tick below it.